calibration criteria (maximize fit), experimental
tests, and land use described.
Hansen, Walter G., "How Accessibility Shapes
Land Use", Journal of the American Institute of
Planners, Volume XXV, Number 2 (May 1959), pp
73-76
Hypothetical accessibility model distributes future
residential development to metropolitan zones.
Accessibility defined and discussed. Empirical
testing. The equations, parameters, and an illustra-
tion are presented.
Hill, Donald M., "A Growth Allocation Model for
the Boston Region", Journal of the American Insti-
tute of Planners, Volume XXXI, Number 2 (May
1965), pp. 111-120
Model forecasts population and employment using
existing patterns of development, external forecasts
policy changes. 1950-1960 data used for parameter
estimation using simultaneous regression techniques
2300 square miles of Boston Metropolitan Area, 29
subregions. Calibration, validation and projected
results included
Irwin, N.A., "Review of Existing Land-Use Fore-
casting Techniques", Highway Review Board Record,
No. 88, pp. 187-189
Chicago Area Transportation Model
Judgment and mathematics employed to project pop-
ulation, manufacturing employment, and major land
uses. Curve fitting, plotting, accounting-type pro-
cessing and extrapolations simulate Chicago-1980.
Accuracy, procedure, and assumptions discussed
Irwin, N.A., "Review of Existing Land-Use Fore-
casting Techniques", Highway Review Board Record,
No. 88, pp. 184-187
Penn-Jersey Transportation Study
Linear programming used to simulate residential
development by maximizing aggregate rent paying
ability subject to constraints. Household aging,
migration, income changes and transportation costs
utilized. Disaggregation extensive, data collection
intense. Other submodels proposed
Irwin, N.A., "Review of Existing Land-Use Fore-
casting Techniques", Highway Review Board Record,
No. 88, pp. 194-199
RAND Model
Research technique to study transportation - land-
use linkage Functional relationships, flow chart and
derivation of parameters presented. Six month
periods. No calibrations or testing to date. Other
RAND work described; locational rent functions,
J.F. Kain’s papers.
Lakshmanan, T.R., and Hansen, Walter G., "A
Retail Market Potential Model", Journal of the
American Institute of Planners, Volume XXXI,
Number 2 (May 1965), pp. 134-143
Retail trade centers in-Baltimore area selected using
gravity model concept of sales potential, size and
number, purchasing power and proximity of residents.
Data requirements, outputs, criteria for evaluation,
and results discussed
3. Lamb, Donald D., Research of Existing Land Use
Models, No. 1045 Pittsburgh, Southwestern Penn-
sylvania Regional Planning Commission, March 1967,
pp. 42-46
Activities Allocation Model
Six submodels: residential locating, residential space
consumption, manufacturing locating, nonmanufac-
turing locating, nonresidential space consumption
and street area. Model uses 6 multiple regression
equations to convert and allocate activities to 192
districts in greater Philadelphia. Fifty minutes of
IBM 7094 +ime needed to simulate a five-vear period
Lamb, Donald D., Research of Existing Land Use
Models, No. 1045 Pittsburgh, Southwestern Penn-
sylvania Regional Planning Commission, March 1967,
pp. 50-54
Connecticut Land Use Model
Model allocates growth to 169 towns covering 5.000
square miles in Connecticut. Nine simultaneous
equations describe shifts in employment and popula-
tion. Ten-year projections made. Index of accessi-
bility implicit. 1950 data base used
15
Lathrop, George T., and Hamburg, John R., "An
Opportunity-Accessibility Model for Allocating
Regional Growth", Journal of the American Institute
of Planners, Volume XXXI, Number 2 (May 1965),
pp. 95-103
This opportunity-accessibility model tests policy by
manipulating holding capacity, access and density
while allocating residents to 200 square mile Buffalo
area. Theoretical and empirical shortcomings re-
cognized, output given to traffic assignment model.
Developed and tested by New York State Department
of Public Works
16
Lowry, Ira S., A Model of Metropolis, RM-4035-RC,
Santa Monica, California, The RAND Corporation,
August 1964
"Instant metropolis" created using basic, retail and
household sectors. Structural equations presented
along with derivation, calibration, and testing of
gravity principle allocation rule. Density constraints,
iterative procedures, inputs, outputs for 420 square
mile Pittsburgh area, and the author’s appraisal
included
Niedercorn, John H., An Econometric Model of
Metropolitan Employment and Population Growth,
RM-3758-RC, Santa Monica, California, The RAND
Corporation, October 1963
Metropolitan employment (manufacturing, whole-
saling, retailing, etc.) and population, forecast for
ten-year periods. Three zones (SMSA, central city,
metropolitan ring). Parameters estimated using cross-
section data from 41 SMSA’s. Several "partial"
theories, Inputs, assumptions, predictive power
(coefficients of determination), and conclusions pre-
sented.
18.
O’ Block, Robert P., "An Economic Model for Low-
Cost Housing Projects, Program and Policy Evalua-
tion", Proceedings of Association for Computing
Machinery Symposium on the Application of Com-
puters for the Problems of Urban Society, New York
City, October 1969
ARCH+ 2 (1969) H.8